![]() http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2003/index.html |
ARCH model:
Robert F. Engle, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity With Estimates of the Variance of U.K. Inflation, Econometrica 50 (1982), pp. 987 - 1008. GARCH model: Tim Bollerslev, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity, Journal of Econometrics 31 (1986), pp. 307 - 327 Stephen J. Taylor, Modelling Financial Time Series, John Wiley, Chichester, 1986 |