Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Comenius University Mathematics of Economy and Finance EQUILIBRIUM AND NO-ARBITRAGE MODELS OF THE TERM STRUCTURE MASTER THESIS Supervisor: Professor Dr. Engelbert J. Dockner Master student: Zuzana Vavrovicova Bratislava 1999 CONTENTS I. Introduction 2 II. The need for the term structure models 2 2.1 The motivation for term structure models 2 2.2 Principal definitions 3 III. One-factor models of the term structure 6 3.1 General form of one-factor models 6 3.2 The derivation of the Vasicek and CIR models 8 3.3 The Ho and Lee model 15 IV. Econometric estimation of one-factor models 17 4.1 Concept and notation 17 4.2 Discrete-time version of the Vasicek model 20 4.3 Discrete-time version of CIR model 23 4.4 Discrete-time version of the Ho and Lee model 25 V. Fitting models to the data 28 VI. Conclusion 30 VII. Resume (in Slovak) 32 Bibliography 34